The Previous Split and how it Factors in

     The previous split contains The MOST accurate data concerning how the current split will go for players on your team. If your player is on the same roster, you can expect very similar results. If your player is on a different roster or an unknown roster, there are no garentees. I see similar rosters as similar playstyles and thus, no reason to believe consistency is not inherently garenteed, although it is not always, just a very safe bet.
     Any slight change in a roster can cause a shift in fantasy points.  For instance, Fnatic during Spring Split 2015 had a safe AD Carry, Reliable mid with an agressive jungler and role swapping support.  Their most valuable resource was consistently Huni, a God tier top lane carry with a reliable champion pool and a team that understood he was a consistent top lane carry in a region where that did not exist. They had the freedom to forge a meta game revolving around Huni reminiscent of the Eastern teams we all love to see destroy eachother at every world finals. This meant fantasy gold for owners of any Fnatic player last split, but this split there is uncertainty. Fnatic is a smart team that knows what they have in Huni, and now in Rekkles. Rekkles will demand resources just by virtue of team resume. Suddenly, to me as I see it Fnatic has a very juicy split push option, and that will be Huni. I can't assume to know how team management is planning to use their new resource in Rekkles but I would not be surprised to see more split pushing, less team fights and more cross map objective control. Would this lead to less team points? Maybe, less Huni points? Perhaps. All I'm saying is Huni was number one on my draftboard when Steelback was in the bottom lane, and Rekkles scored my team 27 more points than his teammate as my first overall pick in this week's matchup.
     Roster changes often lead to playstyle changes and playstyle changes can lead to a very good player on a very good team underperforming in a fantasy situation. XiaoWeiXiao for example left LMQ where he was the split's MVP and moved to TIP, a similar team with a different roster and although they performed very well and I still believe XWX is a high quality player, he produced low fantasy totals last split despite a high scoring team. I think this is a perfect example of a team's playstyle change leading to a potential drop in a player's fantasy points. In this instance I believe that in the Summer Split of 2015, Freeze and Sneaky are safer picks than say Piglet, Doublelift or Altec, for example. If you are looking for safe in the carry positions, look for high performing players who have teams that understand the carry centric roles they are playing.
     The dynamics of carry roles, supporting roles and even team scoring are very unique from one another and your player's fantasy totals can be effected by the difference. I look forward to going over each of the dynamics in upcoming blogs to help readers fully understand how it effects their team and how it can positively effect decisions they make during draft and free agency as a predictive force for fantasy scoring. If you have a fantasy team from the previous split, you can access the previous split's stats through Lolesports.com. This can be your greatest resource for creating an advantageous team.