Saturday, May 30, 2015

   EU LCS vs NA LCS

   If you're like me, you live in North America, you play on the North American servers and you cheer for the North American teams no matter who they are, during any international tournament. However, statistically speaking European players will most likely score, as they did last split, more points than NA on a 1.1:1 ratio. This is in no way garenteed, as there are many worthwhile fantasy teams in North America to pick from, but in many common scenarios EU players you can choose from will consistantly outperform NA players of similar regional fantasy caliber.
   Imagine this: you are in a later round, (depending on how many players are in your league) you notice that the players from Fnatic, TSM, Origen and TIP are drafted. Who is left to pick from? Statistically speaking, the highest predictor is kills, making all those teams fantasy gold. Not knowing the player's exact role in the team, your safest option is the team with the next highest kill per game rate of the previous split. Of this past draft, the Summer Split of 2015, the next five highest teams in that stat are all from the EU LCS. Gambit Gaming at 16.2 per game on a roster improvement, SK Gaming at 15.9 on a roster loss, UOL at 15.3 with the same roster, Copenhagen Wolves at 14.8 with the same roster and H2K at 13.9 with the same roster. The next highest being Team8 with 13.7 kills per game. I would advise anyone to pick a player from the first five teams instead of a hometown favorite like Doublelift or Sneaky on low scoring teams.
   EU likes to fight. Early game mid game late game, and there aren't many exceptions to this rule. While many NA teams want to fight, a week against Cloud 9, CLG or TSM will leave a middle of the pack team grasping for air as they are outrotated and demolished in a 9-1 defeat after losing the objective game. Elite teams like Fnatic and H2K in EU may have the resources as a team to play a game this way, but have shown through many games they would much rather dive your turrets and trade kills before trading objectives, which means your fantasy player will likely not be starved points even in a losing effort.  A game in which your team loses 12-23 in the kill score will score as many points than a game in which your team is Cloud 9 and they win 10-1. Assists are worth three times the punishment for deaths so you should not be worried about your player dying or your player's KDA. (Sorry Forg1ven and Sneaky fans)
   During certain matchups I would say it is in best interest to start NA players over EU players, from a very basic overview. But each week you have a 1/5 chance to play vs Cloud 9, TSM and CLG who have consistently shown do not die without necessity or without thought. I would avoid matchups with these teams as a rule of thumb whenever possible.

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